Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.195950 0.222986 0.251999 0.285399 0.322742 0.363156 0.410157
2025-12-21 0.158396 0.194258 0.235321 0.285651 0.345492 0.414179 0.498790
2025-12-28 0.134728 0.176161 0.226296 0.291057 0.372089 0.469685 0.595643
2026-01-04 0.118092 0.163401 0.220945 0.298750 0.400464 0.528094 0.699413
2026-01-11 0.103019 0.150126 0.212650 0.300738 0.420496 0.576314 0.792819
2026-01-18 0.092751 0.141651 0.209181 0.307881 0.446798 0.633393 0.900583
2026-01-25 0.084419 0.134644 0.206583 0.315317 0.473242 0.691540 1.012662
2026-02-01 0.075047 0.124847 0.198736 0.314071 0.486674 0.731825 1.101711
2026-02-08 0.067209 0.116371 0.191785 0.313112 0.499822 0.771762 1.191774
2026-02-15 0.060365 0.108613 0.185020 0.311525 0.511400 0.809469 1.280001
2026-02-22 0.056290 0.104889 0.184110 0.318713 0.536470 0.868118 1.401913
2026-03-01 0.051252 0.098935 0.178953 0.318471 0.549541 0.908871 1.498376
2026-03-08 0.046601 0.093255 0.173887 0.318197 0.562904 0.951443 1.601100
2026-03-15 0.042543 0.088183 0.169360 0.318363 0.576827 0.995474 1.708284
2026-03-22 0.039797 0.085247 0.168271 0.324267 0.600571 1.056362 1.845372
2026-03-29 0.037671 0.083258 0.168665 0.332716 0.629043 1.126285 2.000436
2026-04-05 0.034908 0.079680 0.165767 0.334891 0.646536 1.178610 2.128679
2026-04-12 0.033105 0.077856 0.165988 0.342753 0.674472 1.249816 2.291783
2026-04-19 0.031483 0.076224 0.166409 0.350939 0.703355 1.323891 2.462986
2026-04-26 0.028968 0.072370 0.162067 0.349565 0.714401 1.367186 2.582734
2026-05-03 0.026723 0.068853 0.158076 0.348508 0.725831 1.411499 2.705994
2026-05-10 0.024622 0.065416 0.153926 0.346759 0.735701 1.453280 2.826356
2026-05-17 0.023550 0.064271 0.154517 0.354676 0.764673 1.531071 3.014648